A lot of intriguing questions in 2011. Is this the year of the woman ?? A lot of woman candidates with strong credentials are running. What about the "Kid with Game" ??? Young Matt Owen will older voters take young Matt serious ??? Is anti incumbency still going to be popular ??? How will the annexed voters vote and will they come out in strong numbers ?? Can Kevin (in Eleven) Vissing get 11% of the mayoral vote ?? Will the big sewer and tax bills doom Galligan ???
We'll find out tomorrow.....
Lets look at the races:
Jeff City Council (at Large) 3 seats Rep.
E, Wayne Carter
Kathy Kennedy Bupp
Abraham (Abe) Navarro
Matthew C. Owen
Win Walker Jr.
HT thinks Navarro and Carter have 2 of the seats locked up. Well recognized names and Carter sits on the Council now appointed to replace Ron Grooms. HT says Carter and Navarro should and will win. The 3rd seat looks like a battle between Win Walker Jr.and the "Kid with Game" Matt Owen. Owen has gotten a lot of publicity in his short mayoral bid, is this enough to overcome his youth ?? Will older voter take him seriously ?? Walker has a well respected name in real estate circles. This may be enough to push him past young Matt Owen. HT says Walker will win but wouldn't be shocked if "The Kid with Game " pulls it off. He's very likable. If HT was voting GOP he would vote Navarro, Carter, and Owen.
Jeff City Council (at Large) 3 seats Dem.
Ronald H. Clark
Dennis Julius
Nathan Samuel
Dustin T. White
This should be an easy race to call Samuel, Julius, and White will win easily too much name recognition for . Julius has a lot of supporters by the volume of his political signs and Samuel an incumbent and the popular White are too strong.
HT will vote for Clark, White, Clark. HT concerned about if and how many illegal aliens work for Julius' Walnut Ridge and HT doesn't vote for Julius and it's time for a clean sweep of the City Council
Jeff Council Dist.2 Rep.
Ed Zastawny
Pat Barrow
HT's upset special, Pat Barrow will defeat Ed Z. The hard working Barrow is a lady on a mission and it could be close as Ed Z. is a slick politician but it's time for a change and Pat will run in the Fall.
Jeff Council Dist. 3 Rep.
Janice Sinkhorn
Steve West
Tough one to call as HT knows very little about either candidate. Just a hunch bet here but Ms. Sinkhorn will win in the "Year of the Woman"
Jeff Council Dist. 6 Dem.
Kimberly Kraft
Brian L. Smith
The seat for the newly annexed residents and Brian Smith should and will win . Smith has campaigned harder than Kraft and wins the chance to run in Nov. HT votes for Smith
Jeff Council Dist.6 Rep.
Bryan Glover
Stan Martin
Glover should win the GOP nomination and face Smith in the Nov. Election
Jeff Mayoral
Thomas R. Galligan
Teresa Bottorf Perkins
Kevin Vissing
Robert (Rob) L. Waiz
This is the big one and HT has gone back and forth about this race all season long. It's really tough to call with a four person race. It could be real close with the winner getting less than or around 40% of the Vote. If Perkins or Waiz were running separately I think either could defeat TG. HT feels that the 3 contenders are a real advantage for TG, (splitting the Vote). This may come as a surprise but HT feels like the split vote will carry Tom Galligan to the nomination to face Mike Moore in the Fall. I wouldn't be shocked if Waiz or Perkins won ,but I think the anti-Galligan vote is just too split for either to win. Kevin in 11 Vissing has about much a chance of winning as a mule does of winning the Kentucky Derby. But Vissing's 7 or 8 % he takesaway might be what puts Galligan over the top, which may have been the plan all along (a plant for Galligan..) Maybe KV can win Gasman of the year
HT will be voting for and fully endorses Teresa Bottorf Perkins, here's wishing her good luck. We need more of these professional, non tradition political types in government. She's ran a classy, professional , hard working campaign and it's time for a female Mayor of Jeff. I'm voting for her as is Mrs. HT and I hope my prediction is wrong.
* note only contested races were mentioned stay tuned to the Batblog for Nov, Election Coverage
What ever your choices are.
Don't Forget to Vote May 3
Excellent analysis HT...Just hoping you are wrong about the mayor's race.
ReplyDeleteTeresa is the bomb.
Me too Goliath, me too.....
ReplyDeleteGonna be a wild one in November. I see the mayors race the same way as I posted on CCC. Hope we're both wrong but don't think so this time. The blood is going to boil this fall and the Machine will roll on. We'll find out this evening and the Ironhorse will be watching.
ReplyDeleteIronhorse says "OH CHIT"
ReplyDeleteLet's get that car finished, whadoyathink? High Gloss Black with a ton of chrome out of the hood, Ironhorse wants painted in small print on the trunk lid "In Memory of Kevin in Eleven"
ReplyDelete