Election 2011- Updated Analysis
As we head into the last month and a half of the 2011 primary race HT will give his analysis on how the races are shaping up so far. In the Democratic mayoral race it looks like a tight race developing between TG the incumbent and Rob Waiz former mayor (2004 -2008) and newcomer Teresa Perkins. The question is can TG overcome the negativity created by higher taxes, higher sewer bills, annexation and Vissing Park.
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TG counting on split vote |
Waiz a polished politician at this time looks like the best bet to defeat Galligan. He has the name recognition, core supporters and likability associated with a winning campaign and should get a lot of support from the annexed and disgruntled voters. He also ran a close race with TG in the mayoral primary four years ago.
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Waiz front runner ?? |
While HT likes the things Teresa Perkins brings to the table, her leadership experience, education , background and being a political newcomer. HT wonders if her message is getting out to the rank in file voters, which is difficult for first time candidates to do.
Kevin Vissing well he does have a catchy slogan (Kevin in 11). He seems to agree with TG on everything, which makes you wonder if he was just a plant by the Galligan campaign to split the anti- Galligan vote. KV has no chance of winning this election.
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Perkins needs to get her message out. |
RECAP: Galligan benefits from the four person field, the anti- Galligan votes will be split and votes for Perkins and Vissing will definitely hurt Waiz. This split of votes could help Galligan overcome the negative issues he is facing.
HT would hope the non-traditional candidate Perkins can get her message out, he likes that she hasn't been tainted by the political machine and could bring experienced non political leadership to the Mayor's office. Kevin Vissing " catchy slogan" and don't quit your day job.
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Catchy slogan |
At this point though it's too close to call, but a slight edge to Rob Waiz. Things can change though in the final six weeks.