Welcome to the BatBlog's Election Eve Special where all the major races will be rehashed, predicted and the BatBlog endorsements reviewed.
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President of the U.S. BatBlog Endorses
Barack Obama will win reelection in a close race. Obama was narrowly beaten in the BatPoll and Romney will carry Indiana easily. Tight race in actual vote Obama wins with about 290 electoral votes.
U.S. Senate Indiana
Another tight race (R) Mourdock is controversial and (D) Donnely has done well in the BatPoll and has a chance to upset him in traditionally Rep. dominated Indiana. BatBlog endorses and picks Donnely in a close race.
Indiana Governor
This is a tightening race that the BatBlog originally thought was a lock for (R) Mike Spence but Polls show (D)John Gregg making inroads recently. The BatBlog still thinks Spence will win in GOP dominated Indiana but Gregg who ran even in the BatPoll could surprise. BatBlog endorses John Gregg
9th Dist. Indiana Congress
(D) Shelli Yoder has her work cut out for her against incumbent (R) Todd Young. Recent re-districting has given Young an even bigger advantage with traditional GOP counties being placed in the 9th Dist. Yoder has ran an aggressive race and has done well in the BatPoll, and look for her to do better than expected but ultimately the BatBlog sees Young winning. BatBlog endorses Shelli Yoder
Clark Co. Commissioner Dist.1
Incumbent (D) Ed Meyer faces off against (R) newcomer Rick Stephenson in the Dist. 1 Commissioners race. Stephenson amassed nearly 75% of the votes in the Batpoll which seems to be a very good indication where the local Clark Co. races are heading. Look for a victory by Stephenson over Meyer as the GOP sweeps both Commissioner's races. The BatBlog endorses Rick Stephenson.
Clark Commissioner Dist. 2
Another incumbent (D) Les Young faces former Co. councilman (R) Jack Coffman in the Dist. 2 Comm. race. Again the incumbent Young ran very poorly in the BatPoll and the BatBlog predicts a GOP sweep in the Comm. races as Young will fall to Coffman, BatBlog endorses Jack Coffman in Dist.2.
Clark Co. Council at Large - 3 members elected
The Clark Co Council will elect three at large members, 3 Democrats and 3 Republicans will face off for the 3 seats. In the BatPoll all 3 GOP candidates ran strong placing in the top 4 along with (D) Susan Popp. The BatBlog sees 2 of these 3 open positions locked up by (R) Kelli Khuri and (D) Ms. Popp. The remaining seat could be a dogfight among (R) Ryan Lynch, (R) Ronald Brogan and incumbent (D) Kevin (Kevin in 11) Vissing Young Mr. Lynch has run hard and the BatBlog predicts he will claim the 3rd seat along with Khuri and Popp. The BatBlog endorses all 3 Khuri, Popp , and Lynch.
School Board Races
There will be 4 members of the GCC School Board elected Tuesday as well. 2 incumbents Christine Gilkey (Dist.5) and Becka Christensen in (Dist.7) face difficult races by well known opponents. Dale Moss retired writer for the CJ will face off against Gilkey in Dist. 5 and Teresa Perkins a mayoral candidate in last years Jeffersonville primary will go up against Christensen. The BatBlog thinks Mr. Moss will unseat Ms. Gilkey and Ms . Christensen will hold off Ms. Perkins in what could be a tight race. In the other S.B. races the BatBlog predicts victories for Jerry White in Dist. 6 and Vickie Boisseau in Dist. 2 both of whom ran strong in the BatPoll. In the S.B. races the BatBlog endorses Moss in Dist.5 Christensen in Dist.7 Alice Dorman Butler in Dist.6 and Vickie Boisseau in Dist. 2.
Overview
Locally it could be another major beatdown for the Dem. party as party leadership continues to thumb it's nose at the rank and file Democrats. The appointment of (Toxic) John Perkins to the vacant Commissioner's seat was just one more major gaffe that could lead to a sweep by the GOP in the County races. In the state and nationally look for a mixed result Democrats have a real chance at the Indiana Governor and Senate seat. Nationally look for Democrats to keep control with a majority in the Senate while the GOP will keep their advantage in the House of Rep.
Make Sure To Vote !!!
So long Ed. So long Les. Good luck John with your new friends.
ReplyDeleteAs I tossed and turned tonight, it came to me why I was tossing and turning. You were 0 for 4 on your predictions for school board. Bad Bat...
ReplyDeleteHT I must say that of all the people I read things from online I am looking forward to your anaysis of the local election the most. Don't get the big head thinking I like your site or anything but from reading your perspective leading up to the election I am curious to see what you thought of the results. Hopefully we do not have to wait three months for it.
ReplyDeleteBrian Coffman
LOL
ReplyDeleteActually SquarePeg I did pick Jerry White to win though I endorsed Alice Butler so actually I was 1 for 4.
It's kind of hard getting a feel from people on SB races, I was surprised at a couple of the results... But I think all the winners will be good board members... Sorry you lost Sleep
Thanks Brian I will try and put something together later this week. Kind of busy.... and bruised from getting thrashed by the Giant
ReplyDeleteOverall I think I did pretty well calling all the State, national and Co. Commissioners races correctly and 2 of the 3 Co. Council races....
ReplyDeleteSpecial thanks to the 538 Blog of Nate Silver http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/
A political and statistical genius...